Friday, March 30, 2007
14 bouts this weekend. lots of money to be made.small -115 vs. wright -115: small's nickname is "sugar ray clay jones jr." so even though i havent seen him fight, id guess he is fast. wright can jab. thats about it though. i like small winning this one on his home turf.reid +140 vs. smith -170: easy money fight of the week. smith should be favored by allot more. reid isnt horrible but he is old and doesnt have enough juice left to beat smith.minter -145 vs. curriel +115: im not high on curiel. he doesnt seem to have much and he is just a few bouts off of that 4 year break. minter should have the tools needed to win. clark -105 vs. wright -125: ive never thought clark was that good. he does well vs. journeymen but always loses when he steps up. this is a winable fight for both fighters and the odds reflect that.bundrage -210 vs. mcneil +170: bundrage is limited but he should have enough power to beat mcneil. mcneil doesnt bring anything special to the table. should be an easy win for bundrage but fighting overseas....who knows.gomez -350 vs. concepcion +275: gomez is a good fighter. he wasnt blessed with many natural skills besides the ability to take a punch. he has done the most with what he has though. concepcion has lost 3 straight to guys that gomez would probally beat. the only problem that gomez may face is the fact that concepcion fights at a higher weight....but gomez can carry 154 pretty well.ravelo -270 vs. buchanan +210: ravelo has lost to both top 10 fighters he has faced. buchanan keeps winning upsets. havent seen much of buchanan so im hesitant to wager on him. wouldnt doubt it if buchanan gets a sd win though.reid -260 vs. brinkley +200: reid is a real fighter...brinkley plays one on tv. seriously...brinkley has lost 4 in a row and he quit his last fight ahead on the cards. reid wins easy.bami -450 vs. lauri +350: bami won the first...should win the second.sanders -1150 vs. mahfood +650: mahfood has rode that ann wolfe victory long enough. easy win for sanders. mahfood hasnt been trying at all lately. sanders is much smaller...but punching power rarely beats technique is womens fighting.julio -1800 vs. davis +1000: i like this one.davis is tall and wild.... but he has some pop. julio punches fast and hard....also wild. the odds should be allot closer. ill take davis with the long odds. he should only be a +400 dog.gonzalez -325 vs. pacheco +250: pacheco is old and he looks it. ive read he recieved a major hometown gift in his last fight (i had his opp with great dog odds to!!!) gonzalez fought a good brawl vs. vaz in a step up to 122. this ones at 118...gonzalez will tko/ko pacheco.bojorquez -200 vs. sanchez +160: should be a good brawl. bojorquez has many lives as a fighter. he looked done years ago but keeps coming back with big wins or gutsy performances. sanchez may have enough to pull an upset. this fight can go either way. hill -500 vs. maske +350: hill will stop maske. maske has taken too long off. hill has stayed semi-active and thats what will count. maske's people promoted a sparring session as a "win" obviously trying to build up their fighters psyche. hill should retire after this win. he would be a HOFer based on numbers.20 on a 4 man parlay on small, smith, minter and wright20 on a 5 man gomez, reid, bami, gonzalez, hill.10 on davis50 on hill by KO/TKO/DQ50 on gonzalez KO/TKO/DQas for final 4.i made a 5 point teaser with ucla +8 and osu +6. 50 wagered to win 38.50taking osu straight up when the money odds come out.
Friday, March 9, 2007
wagers this week
the bell-mormeck fight on 3-17 has crazy odds. bell is a +150 dog. did jmm fix his stamina issues when he gained a bunch of weight and fought at heavyweight?\onto this weeks action. i re-upped 150 and got a free t-shirt and some silver package "expert" picks on college basketball (that im sure will be the same expert picks i get with my sporting news subscription)maludrottu -500 vs. napa +300: napa is small and was beaten by a guy malu beat twice. that and the fact that maludrottu has the cool name of the week and i think he is a lock to win.mathews -600 vs. derry +400: see above escept for the cool name part. easy win for mathews.smith -1100 vs. polizzi +800: its gimme weekend in england i guess, another gimme fight, however looks like smith has another fight scheduled later this month....maybe he overlooks this old vet this weekend?m'baye -185 vs. kotelnik +155: mbaye won the first, probally wins the second. good odds for a man with a win over his opp.narvases -200 vs. asloum +160: i like asloums chances. he is fighting at home, he can box and his only loss was to the super-underated lorenzo parra. good odds, good chance at an upset.klit -800 vs. austin +500: i wish they had round odds on this one. i imagine klit would come in at around 3-1 or so on a 1st round KO. easy win, austin might actually last the distance...and maybe...just maybe if he lasts into the late rounds he has a chance. i think wlad gets rid of him in 5 minutes or less though. ibrigimov -1300 vs. mora +700: sportsbook has result props but no odds availible. im going to wager large on sultan by ko/tko/dq. as far as mora goes; fres oquendo almost stopped him in 1, kirk johnson gave him hell until ge ganked his knee and until it got ruled a NC that was mora's biggest win. mora is slow with a porous defense and i dont think he takes a shot well. hopefully he at least gets a good payday for this fight.50 on a 5 man asloum, malu, mathews, smith, mbaye parlay25 on sultan to win by KO/TKO/DQ15 on asloum10 on mbaye
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