Thursday, April 5, 2007

Long Odds this weekend.

thomas -225 vs. kiilu +185: neither guy is that great. kiilu realy has not beat a decent fighter in his career. thomas has. neither has a great chin. thomas should win but this is not a "safe" bet.

godfrey -150 vs. cora jr. +120: cora jr. has been declining and godfrey has been ascending as far as skill goes. i think the cora is exposed as being very hitable and godfrey will take advantage of that. a late stoppage for godfrey would be my guess.

walker -325 vs. garcia +250: im calling an upset here. walker has not imprssed me at all. he was given a gift vs. gavern. almost beaten by limited journeyman andrew greeley and i think estrada won his last fight. garcia is the latino tony tubbs. he has fast hands, seems to have a decent chin and i think he wins a close ugly decision. walker hasnt been exposed as being chinny yet...but he will be soon.

clottey -280 vs. corrales +220: wow!!!! cant believe these odds. i thought it would be an even money fight. i know diego is coming off a few defeats and is going way up in weight vs. a tough fighter...but the man has 2 things that will keep in any fights....heart and power. clottey broke his hand just 4 months ago!!! if he bounces a couple off corrales head, knocks corrales down....maybe corrales can get up and stop him. i dont know....i think clottey wins but I LOVE these odds. im going to go for corrales by tko/ko and have fun rooting for him.

calzaghe -950 vs. manfredo +550: joe c should win this fight easy but.....he is a 35 year old fighter, fought allot of rounds and has complained of injuries for years. all that could add up in this fight. manfredo will never be better than he is right now. cal is the better fighter but i think the timing might be just right for manfredo. i like the long odds and im going to go for an upset. like tszyu, rjj and morales; calzaghe is due to get old and when fighters get old it usually shows up quick.

takaloo -115 vs. jennings -115: an iranian vs. a brit!!! nice, fits well with the current events. i think jennings has to be KO'ed to lose. no way an iranian fighter will get a decision in britain this weekend.

maccaroni -5000 vs. gunn +2000: dont let the pretty odds fool you. gunn doesnt have a chance. ive seen gunn live many times and he is slow footed, bad balance, horrid defense and his chin isnt very hot. mac KO's him in under 3.

lockett -1000 vs. blundell +600: lockett will KO blundell early.

10 on a 5 man thomas, godfrey, jennings, mac, lockett parlay.
20 on garcia
20 on corrales
20 on manfredo
20 on jennings
5 on corrales by decision
5 on manfredo by tko/ko/dq (hoping joe c. quits, cuts or breaks)

long odds on all these wagers. only need 2-3 of them to hit for a profitable weekend

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