chance of upsets

i think there are some upsets to be had this week.
soto-toledo: soto is good, with the rare combo of youth and ring experience. i can see the guy holding onto a few belts down the road. toledo is more of a showcase, hopefully afterwards soto takes on some of the elites. soto pays -2500, only good for parlays.

mesi-linberger: heres a chance to make some solid cash!!! linberger pays +600. had this fight happened pre-bleed id say this is an easy mesi tko1. however, since the jirov blows to the back of mesi's head, joe hasnt been the same. he is slow with poor reflexes. linberger is terrible but he is allot better than the guys mesi has fought recently. a few of those guys gave mesi a rough time. mesi retires after this fight.

tua-hawkins: hawkins doesnt have enough power to keep tua honest. this one may go the distance, may be closer than it should be, but tua wins. tua pays -2500, at this price hawkins may be worth a small wager.

abazi-guerrero: this is a no win for the ghost. guerrero has KO abazi to win. he wont get the decision in denmark, where some truelly horrid hometown decisions have happened. abazi pays -135

davis-wilson: 2 small heavies/blown up cruisers. wilson has done halfway decent vs. heavies he has faced, so im guessing he has the power over davis. davis looks tough but he doesnt take a shot very well and his stamina is terrible. ill go with wilson paying -150

marrone-barnes: ever since i saw marrone almost get KOed by zack page ive been low on him. barnes is a solid jounryman due an upset win. marrone is probally better than maddalone and gavern though, 2 guys that beat barnes. marrone pays -1800, which is too much. barnes might be decent at +1000 for a small wager.

banks-ayala: when its a rematch i tend to go for the guy that won the first fight. when the first winner pays +235, i jump all over it. maybe it was a bad decision but it still counts. banks won the first fight and pays +235

montiel-gorres: montiel is a good fighter that has never lost a fight that wasnt real close. gorres is fighting in his home country. latino fighters have been getting shafted in asia for the last few years, im guessing gorres wins by SD. gorres pays +175

35 on linberger
20 on 2 man soto, wilson
20 on banks
20 on gorres
20 on 2 man soto, abazi
5 on barnes
5 on a 5 man soto, tua, banks, abazi, gorres parlay

im guessing tommy morrison wins his comeback fight also